New tariffs from the Trump administration have battered China's furniture industry, with exports falling 6.8% in 2025 and the manufacturing hub of Foshan seeing its economy grow by a mere 0.2%, a fraction of the national 5% rate. The downturn marks a painful reversal for the city once at the center of the global furniture supply chain.
"We have to uplift ourselves," said Ken Huo, a furniture exporter in Foshan, highlighting the industry's push towards higher-end, custom designs to survive the trade war. Huo, a 30-year veteran of the industry, saw his own U.S. sales decline by around 15% last year.
The impact is stark: U.S. imports of Chinese furniture and related products fell 18% last year and have continued to slide. A 25% duty is currently in place for certain furniture items, a remnant of a broader tariff campaign that briefly saw duties exceed 100% on all Chinese goods last year. This has pushed major American retailers like Walmart and Home Depot to shift their sourcing to countries like Vietnam and Mexico.
The struggle in Foshan exemplifies the broader challenge for China's low-end manufacturing. Squeezed by U.S. protectionism and Beijing's own strategic pivot towards high-tech sectors like semiconductors and AI, these traditional factory towns must either innovate or risk obsolescence.
From "China Shock" to Tariff Shock
Decades after China's manufacturing boom devastated furniture makers in North Carolina—a phenomenon dubbed the "China Shock"—the roles have seemingly reversed. Now, it is the factory town of Foshan that is fighting for its economic life. The pressure is unlikely to ease, with President Donald Trump vowing to "bring all the furniture back to North Carolina," promising a return to the "robust" days of 30 years ago.
The tariffs have been volatile. Last year, duties on steel and aluminum were raised to 50%, directly hitting metal bed-frame manufacturers like Foshan-based Julei. While the Trump administration later overhauled the tariff to be 25% for finished products, the damage was done, erasing the company's remaining U.S. sales.
Shifting Strategies, Uncertain Future
In response, Foshan's manufacturers are scrambling to adapt. Julei, a 26-year-old factory, is rolling out higher-tech adjustable bed frames and investing in automation to boost productivity. Others, like outdoor-furniture maker Ciaoweather, are bypassing traditional retail channels to market their own original designs directly to consumers on social media.
"Perhaps we really won’t be working in factories anymore," said Joe Tang, sales director of Ciaoweather. "Instead, we’ll be focusing more on branding and design."
This pivot upmarket is a necessity, but challenges remain. The war in Iran has dampened a once-growing demand from the Middle East, and a slowing global economy threatens orders from other regions. While luxury furniture expos still draw buyers, the vast factory-outlet malls that once defined Foshan are now dotted with empty storefronts.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.